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The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management

Kreibich Heidi, Van Loon Anne F., Schröter Kai, Ward Philip J., Mazzoleni Maurizio, Sairam Nivedita, Abeshu Guta Wakbulcho, Agafonova Svetlana, AghaKouchak Amir, Aksoy Hafzullah, Alvarez-Garreton Camila, Aznar Blanca, Balkhi Laila, Barendrecht Marlies H., Biancamaria Sylvain, Bos-Burgering Liduin, Bradley Chris, Budiyono Yus, Buytaert Wouter, Capewell Lucinda, Carlson Hayley, Cavus Yonca, Couasnon Anaïs, Coxon Gemma, Daliakopoulos Ioannis, de Ruiter Marleen C., Delus Claire, Erfurt Mathilde, Esposito Giuseppe, François Didier, Frappart Frédéric, Freer Jim, Frolova Natalia, Gain Animesh K., Grillakis Emmanouil, Grima Jordi Oriol, Guzmán Diego A., Huning Laurie S., Ionita Monica, Kharlamov Maxim, Khoi Dao Nguyen, Kieboom Natalie, Kireeva Maria, Koutroulis Aristeidis, Lavado-Casimiro Waldo, Li Hong-Yi, LLasat María Carmen, Macdonald David, Mård Johanna, Mathew-Richards Hannah, McKenzie Andrew, Mejia Alfonso, Mendiondo Eduardo Mario, Mens Marjolein, Mobini Shifteh, Mohor Guilherme Samprogna, Nagavciuc Vio

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URIhttp://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/BE07A135-E131-47DB-A8C0-017D240419B2-
Identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-04917-5-
Identifierhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04917-5-
Languageen-
Extent14 pagesen
TitleThe challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk managementen
CreatorKreibich Heidien
CreatorVan Loon Anne F.en
CreatorSchröter Kaien
CreatorWard Philip J.en
CreatorMazzoleni Maurizioen
CreatorSairam Niveditaen
CreatorAbeshu Guta Wakbulchoen
CreatorAgafonova Svetlanaen
CreatorAghaKouchak Amiren
CreatorAksoy Hafzullahen
CreatorAlvarez-Garreton Camilaen
CreatorAznar Blancaen
CreatorBalkhi Lailaen
CreatorBarendrecht Marlies H.en
CreatorBiancamaria Sylvainen
CreatorBos-Burgering Liduinen
CreatorBradley Chrisen
CreatorBudiyono Yusen
CreatorBuytaert Wouteren
CreatorCapewell Lucindaen
CreatorCarlson Hayleyen
CreatorCavus Yoncaen
CreatorCouasnon Anaïsen
CreatorCoxon Gemmaen
CreatorDaliakopoulos Ioannisen
CreatorΔαλιακοπουλος Ιωαννηςel
Creatorde Ruiter Marleen C.en
CreatorDelus Claireen
CreatorErfurt Mathildeen
CreatorEsposito Giuseppeen
CreatorFrançois Didieren
CreatorFrappart Frédéricen
CreatorFreer Jimen
CreatorFrolova Nataliaen
CreatorGain Animesh K.en
CreatorGrillakis Emmanouilen
CreatorΓρυλλακης Εμμανουηλel
CreatorGrima Jordi Oriolen
CreatorGuzmán Diego A.en
CreatorHuning Laurie S.en
CreatorIonita Monicaen
CreatorKharlamov Maximen
CreatorKhoi Dao Nguyenen
CreatorKieboom Natalieen
CreatorKireeva Mariaen
CreatorKoutroulis Aristeidisen
CreatorΚουτρουλης Αριστειδηςel
CreatorLavado-Casimiro Waldoen
CreatorLi Hong-Yien
CreatorLLasat María Carmenen
CreatorMacdonald Daviden
CreatorMård Johannaen
CreatorMathew-Richards Hannahen
CreatorMcKenzie Andrewen
CreatorMejia Alfonsoen
CreatorMendiondo Eduardo Marioen
CreatorMens Marjoleinen
CreatorMobini Shiftehen
CreatorMohor Guilherme Samprognaen
CreatorNagavciuc Vioricaen
CreatorNgo-Duc Thanhen
CreatorThao Nguyen Huynh Thien
CreatorNhi Pham Thi Thaoen
CreatorPetrucci Olgaen
CreatorNguyen Hong Quanen
CreatorQuintana-Seguí Pereen
CreatorRazavi Samanen
CreatorRidolfi Elenaen
CreatorRiegel Janniken
CreatorSadik Md Shiblyen
CreatorSavelli Elisaen
CreatorSazonov Alexeyen
CreatorSharma Sanjiben
CreatorSörensen Johannaen
CreatorArguello Souza Felipe Augustoen
CreatorStahl Kerstinen
CreatorSteinhausen Maxen
CreatorStoelzle Michaelen
CreatorSzalińska Wiwianaen
CreatorTang Qiuhongen
CreatorTian Fuqiangen
CreatorTokarczyk Tamaraen
CreatorTovar Carolinaen
CreatorTran Thi Van Thuen
CreatorVan Huijgevoort Marjolein H. J.en
Creatorvan Vliet Michelle T. H.en
CreatorVorogushyn Sergiyen
CreatorWagener Thorstenen
CreatorWang Yuelingen
CreatorWendt Doris E.en
CreatorWickham Ellioten
CreatorYang Longen
CreatorZambrano-Bigiarini Mauricioen
CreatorBlöschl Günteren
CreatorDi Baldassarre Giulianoen
PublisherSpringer Natureen
Content SummaryRisk management has reduced vulnerability to floods and droughts globally1,2, yet their impacts are still increasing3. An improved understanding of the causes of changing impacts is therefore needed, but has been hampered by a lack of empirical data4,5. On the basis of a global dataset of 45 pairs of events that occurred within the same area, we show that risk management generally reduces the impacts of floods and droughts but faces difficulties in reducing the impacts of unprecedented events of a magnitude not previously experienced. If the second event was much more hazardous than the first, its impact was almost always higher. This is because management was not designed to deal with such extreme events: for example, they exceeded the design levels of levees and reservoirs. In two success stories, the impact of the second, more hazardous, event was lower, as a result of improved risk management governance and high investment in integrated management. The observed difficulty of managing unprecedented events is alarming, given that more extreme hydrological events are projected owing to climate change.en
Type of ItemPeer-Reviewed Journal Publicationen
Type of ItemΔημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτέςel
Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
Date of Item2024-03-08-
Date of Publication2022-
SubjectHydrologyen
SubjectNatural hazardsen
Bibliographic CitationH. Kreibich, A. F. Van Loon, K. Schröter, P. J. Ward, M. Mazzoleni, N. Sairam, G. Wakbulcho Abeshu, S. Agafonova, A. AghaKouchak, H. Aksoy, C. Alvarez-Garreton, B. Aznar, L. Balkhi, M. H. Barendrecht, S. Biancamaria, L. Bos-Burgering, C. Bradley, Y. Budiyono, W. Buytaert, L. Capewell, H. Carlson, Y. Cavus, A. Couasnon, G. Coxon, I. Daliakopoulos, M. C. de Ruiter, C. Delus, M. Erfurt, G. Esposito, D. François, F. Frappart, J. Freer, N. Frolova, A. K. Gain, M. Grillakis, J. Oriol Grima, D. A. Guzmán, L. S. Huning, M. Ionita, Maxim Kharlamov, D. Nguyen Khoi, N. Kieboom, M. Kireeva, A. Koutroulis, W. Lavado-Casimiro, H.-Y. Li, M. Carmen LLasat, D. Macdonald, J. Mård, H. Mathew-Richards, A. McKenzie, A. Mejia, E. M. Mendiondo, M. Mens, S. Mobini, G. Samprogna Mohor, V. Nagavciuc, T. Ngo-Duc, T. Thao Nguyen Huynh, P. Thi Thao Nhi, O. Petrucci, H. Quan Nguyen, P. Quintana-Seguí, S. Razavi, E. Ridolfi, J. Riegel, Md Shibly Sadik, E. Savelli, A. Sazonov, S. Sharma, J. Sörensen, F. Augusto Arguello Souza, K. Stahl, M. Steinhausen, M. Stoelzle, W. Szalińska, Q. Tang, F. Tian, T. Tokarczyk, C. Tovar, T. Van Thu Tran, M. H. J. Van Huijgevoort, M. T. H. van Vliet, S. Vorogushyn, T. Wagener, Y. Wang, D. E. Wendt, E. Wickham, L. Yang, M. Zambrano-Bigiarini, G. Blöschl and G. Di Baldassarre, “The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management,” Nature, vol. 608, no. 7921, pp. 80–86, Aug. 2022, doi: 10.1038/s41586-022-04917-5. en

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