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Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change

Gudmundsson Lukas, Boulange Julien, Gosling Simon N., Gryllakis Emmanouil, Koutroulis Aristeidis, Leonard Michael, Liu Junguo, Müller Schmied Hannes, Papadimitriou Lamprini, Pokhrel, Yadu, Seneviratne, Sonia 1974-, Satoh Yusuke, Thiery Wim, Westra Seth, Zhang Xuebin, Zhao Fang, Do Hong

Απλή Εγγραφή

URIhttp://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/45FA88EA-70C8-4F20-AAA0-5F3BBE7C4354-
Αναγνωριστικόhttps://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba3996-
Αναγνωριστικόhttps://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aba3996-
Γλώσσαen-
Μέγεθος4 pagesen
ΤίτλοςGlobally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate changeen
ΔημιουργόςGudmundsson Lukasen
ΔημιουργόςBoulange Julienen
ΔημιουργόςGosling Simon N.en
ΔημιουργόςGryllakis Emmanouilen
ΔημιουργόςΓρυλλακης Εμμανουηλel
ΔημιουργόςKoutroulis Aristeidisen
ΔημιουργόςΚουτρουλης Αριστειδηςel
ΔημιουργόςLeonard Michaelen
ΔημιουργόςLiu Junguoen
ΔημιουργόςMüller Schmied Hannesen
ΔημιουργόςPapadimitriou Lamprinien
ΔημιουργόςPokhrel, Yaduen
ΔημιουργόςSeneviratne, Sonia 1974-en
ΔημιουργόςSatoh Yusukeen
ΔημιουργόςThiery Wimen
ΔημιουργόςWestra Sethen
ΔημιουργόςZhang Xuebinen
ΔημιουργόςZhao Fangen
ΔημιουργόςDo Hongen
ΕκδότηςAmerican Association for the Advancement of Scienceen
ΠερίληψηAnthropogenic climate change is expected to affect global river flow. Here, we analyze time series of low, mean, and high river flows from 7250 observatories around the world covering the years 1971 to 2010. We identify spatially complex trend patterns, where some regions are drying and others are wetting consistently across low, mean, and high flows. Trends computed from state-of-the-art model simulations are consistent with the observations only if radiative forcing that accounts for anthropogenic climate change is considered. Simulated effects of water and land management do not suffice to reproduce the observed trend pattern. Thus, the analysis provides clear evidence for the role of externally forced climate change as a causal driver of recent trends in mean and extreme river flow at the global scale.en
ΤύποςPeer-Reviewed Journal Publicationen
ΤύποςΔημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτέςel
Άδεια Χρήσηςhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
Ημερομηνία2023-03-22-
Ημερομηνία Δημοσίευσης2021-
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαAnthropogenic climate changeen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαRiver flow model simulationsen
Βιβλιογραφική ΑναφοράL. Gudmundsson, J. Boulange, H. X. Do, S. N. Gosling, M. G. Grillakis, A. G. Koutroulis, M. Leonard, J. Liu, H. Müller Schmied, L. Papadimitriou, Y. Pokhrel, S. I. Seneviratne, Y. Satoh, W. Thiery, S. Westra, X. Zhang, and F. Zhao, “Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change,” Science, vol. 371, no. 6534, pp. 1159- 1162, Mar. 2021, doi: 10.1126/science.aba3996.en

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