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Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change

Gudmundsson Lukas, Boulange Julien, Gosling Simon N., Gryllakis Emmanouil, Koutroulis Aristeidis, Leonard Michael, Liu Junguo, Müller Schmied Hannes, Papadimitriou Lamprini, Pokhrel, Yadu, Seneviratne, Sonia 1974-, Satoh Yusuke, Thiery Wim, Westra Seth, Zhang Xuebin, Zhao Fang, Do Hong

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URIhttp://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/45FA88EA-70C8-4F20-AAA0-5F3BBE7C4354-
Identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba3996-
Identifierhttps://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aba3996-
Languageen-
Extent4 pagesen
TitleGlobally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate changeen
CreatorGudmundsson Lukasen
CreatorBoulange Julienen
CreatorGosling Simon N.en
CreatorGryllakis Emmanouilen
CreatorΓρυλλακης Εμμανουηλel
CreatorKoutroulis Aristeidisen
CreatorΚουτρουλης Αριστειδηςel
CreatorLeonard Michaelen
CreatorLiu Junguoen
CreatorMüller Schmied Hannesen
CreatorPapadimitriou Lamprinien
CreatorPokhrel, Yaduen
CreatorSeneviratne, Sonia 1974-en
CreatorSatoh Yusukeen
CreatorThiery Wimen
CreatorWestra Sethen
CreatorZhang Xuebinen
CreatorZhao Fangen
CreatorDo Hongen
PublisherAmerican Association for the Advancement of Scienceen
Content SummaryAnthropogenic climate change is expected to affect global river flow. Here, we analyze time series of low, mean, and high river flows from 7250 observatories around the world covering the years 1971 to 2010. We identify spatially complex trend patterns, where some regions are drying and others are wetting consistently across low, mean, and high flows. Trends computed from state-of-the-art model simulations are consistent with the observations only if radiative forcing that accounts for anthropogenic climate change is considered. Simulated effects of water and land management do not suffice to reproduce the observed trend pattern. Thus, the analysis provides clear evidence for the role of externally forced climate change as a causal driver of recent trends in mean and extreme river flow at the global scale.en
Type of ItemPeer-Reviewed Journal Publicationen
Type of ItemΔημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτέςel
Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
Date of Item2023-03-22-
Date of Publication2021-
SubjectAnthropogenic climate changeen
SubjectRiver flow model simulationsen
Bibliographic CitationL. Gudmundsson, J. Boulange, H. X. Do, S. N. Gosling, M. G. Grillakis, A. G. Koutroulis, M. Leonard, J. Liu, H. Müller Schmied, L. Papadimitriou, Y. Pokhrel, S. I. Seneviratne, Y. Satoh, W. Thiery, S. Westra, X. Zhang, and F. Zhao, “Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change,” Science, vol. 371, no. 6534, pp. 1159- 1162, Mar. 2021, doi: 10.1126/science.aba3996.en

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