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Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales

Lange Stefan, Volkholz Jan, Geiger Tobias, Zhao Fang, Vega del Valle Iliusi , Veldkamp Ted, Reyer Christopher, Warszawski Lila, Huber Veronika, Jägermeyr Jonas, Schewe Jacob, Bresch David, Büchner Matthias, Chang Jinfeng, Ciais Philippe, Dury Marie, Emanuel Kerry, Folberth Christian, Gerten Dieter, Gosling Simon N., Gryllakis Emmanouil, Hanasaki Naota, Henrot Alexandra-Jane, Hickler, Thomas, Honda Yasushi, Ito Akihiko, Khabarov Nikolay, Koutroulis Aristeidis, Liu Wenfeng, Müller Christoph, Nishina Kazuya, Ostberg Sebastian, Müller Schmied Hannes, Seneviratne Sonia I., Stacke Tobias, Steinkamp Joerg, Thiery Wim, Wada Yoshihide, Willner Sven N., Yang Hong, Yoshikawa Minoru, Yue Chao, Frieler Katja

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URIhttp://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/94F7D250-D644-4B8F-87C1-B388F457444F-
Identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001616-
Identifierhttps://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020EF001616-
Languageen-
Extent22 pagesen
Extent6,2 megabytesen
TitleProjecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scalesen
CreatorLange Stefanen
CreatorVolkholz Janen
CreatorGeiger Tobiasen
CreatorZhao Fangen
CreatorVega del Valle Iliusi en
CreatorVeldkamp Teden
CreatorReyer Christopheren
CreatorWarszawski Lilaen
CreatorHuber Veronikaen
CreatorJägermeyr Jonasen
CreatorSchewe Jacoben
CreatorBresch Daviden
CreatorBüchner Matthiasen
CreatorChang Jinfengen
CreatorCiais Philippeen
CreatorDury Marieen
CreatorEmanuel Kerryen
CreatorFolberth Christianen
CreatorGerten Dieteren
CreatorGosling Simon N.en
CreatorGryllakis Emmanouilen
CreatorΓρυλλακης Εμμανουηλel
CreatorHanasaki Naotaen
CreatorHenrot Alexandra-Janeen
CreatorHickler, Thomasen
CreatorHonda Yasushien
CreatorIto Akihikoen
CreatorKhabarov Nikolayen
CreatorKoutroulis Aristeidisen
CreatorΚουτρουλης Αριστειδηςel
CreatorLiu Wenfengen
CreatorMüller Christophen
CreatorNishina Kazuyaen
CreatorOstberg Sebastianen
CreatorMüller Schmied Hannesen
CreatorSeneviratne Sonia I.en
CreatorStacke Tobiasen
CreatorSteinkamp Joergen
CreatorThiery Wimen
CreatorWada Yoshihideen
CreatorWillner Sven N.en
CreatorYang Hongen
CreatorYoshikawa Minoruen
CreatorYue Chaoen
CreatorFrieler Katjaen
PublisherAmerican Geophysical Unionen
Content SummaryThe extent and impact of climate‐related extreme events depend on the underlying meteorological, hydrological, or climatological drivers as well as on human factors such as land use or population density. Here we quantify the pure effect of historical and future climate change on the exposure of land and population to extreme climate impact events using an unprecedentedly large ensemble of harmonized climate impact simulations from the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project phase 2b. Our results indicate that global warming has already more than doubled both the global land area and the global population annually exposed to all six categories of extreme events considered: river floods, tropical cyclones, crop failure, wildfires, droughts, and heatwaves. Global warming of 2°C relative to preindustrial conditions is projected to lead to a more than fivefold increase in cross‐category aggregate exposure globally. Changes in exposure are unevenly distributed, with tropical and subtropical regions facing larger increases than higher latitudes. The largest increases in overall exposure are projected for the population of South Asia.en
Type of ItemPeer-Reviewed Journal Publicationen
Type of ItemΔημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτέςel
Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
Date of Item2021-04-22-
Date of Publication2020-
SubjectGlobal warmingen
SubjectClimate-related extreme eventsen
Bibliographic CitationS. Lange, J. Volkholz, T. Geiger, F. Zhao, I. Vega, T. Veldkamp, C. P. O. Reyer, L. Warszawski, V. Huber, J. Jägermeyr, J. Schewe, D. N. Bresch, M. Büchner, J. Chang, P. Ciais, M. Dury, K. Emanuel, C. Folberth, D. Gerten, S. N. Gosling, M. Grillakis, N. Hanasaki, A. Henrot, T. Hickler, Y. Honda, A. Ito, N. Khabarov, A. Koutroulis, W. Liu, C. Müller, K. Nishina, S. Ostberg, Hannes, S. I. Seneviratne, T. Stacke, J. Steinkamp, W. Thiery, Y. Wada, S. Willner, H. Yang, M. Yoshikawa, C. Yue, and K. Frieler, “Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales,” Earths Future, vol. 8, no. 12, Dec. 2020. doi: 10.1029/2020EF001616en

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