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Winter North Atlantic Oscillation impact on European precipitation and drought under climate change

Tsanis Ioannis, Tapoglou Evdokia

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URIhttp://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/DD50F03B-F4EE-446C-940D-CD97BDA17794-
Identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2379-7-
Identifierhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-018-2379-7-
Languageen-
Extent8 pagesen
TitleWinter North Atlantic Oscillation impact on European precipitation and drought under climate changeen
CreatorTsanis Ioannisen
CreatorΤσανης Ιωαννηςel
CreatorTapoglou Evdokiaen
CreatorΤαπογλου Ευδοκιαel
PublisherSpringer Natureen
Content SummaryThe North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is responsible for the climatic variability in the Northern Hemisphere, in particular, in Europe and is related to extreme events, such as droughts. The purpose of this paper is to study the correlation between precipitation and winter (December–January–February–March (DJFM)) NAO both for the historical period (1951–2000) and two future periods (2001–2050 and 2051–2100). NAO is calculated for these three periods by using sea level pressure, while precipitation data from seven climate models following the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 are also used in this study. An increasing trend in years with positive DJFM NAO values in the future is defined by this data, along with higher average DJFM NAO values. The correlation between precipitation and DJFM NAO is high, especially in the Northern (high positive) and Southern Europe (high negative). Therefore, higher precipitation in Northern Europe and lower precipitation in Southern Europe are expected in the future. Cross-spectral analysis between precipitation and DJFM NAO time series in three different locations in Europe revealed the best coherence in a dominant cycle between 3 and 4 years. Finally, the maximum drought period in terms of consecutive months with drought is examined in these three locations. The results can be used for strategic planning in a sustainable water resources management plan, since there is a link between drought events and NAO.en
Type of ItemPeer-Reviewed Journal Publicationen
Type of ItemΔημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτέςel
Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
Date of Item2020-10-06-
Date of Publication2019-
SubjectClimate changeen
SubjectNorth Atlantic Oscillationen
SubjectClimate modelen
SubjectPrecipitationen
Bibliographic CitationI. Tsanis and E. Tapoglou, "Winter North Atlantic Oscillation impact on European precipitation and drought under climate change," Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol. 135, no. 1-2, pp. 323-330, Jan. 2019. doi: 10.1007/s00704-018-2379-7en

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