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Climate change impact on the hydrological budget of a large Mediterranean island

Nerantzaki Sofia, Efstathiou Dionysios, Giannakis Georgios, Kritsotakis Marinos, Gryllakis Emmanouil, Koutroulis Aristeidis, Tsanis Ioannis, Nikolaidis Nikolaos

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URI: http://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/09D7FF41-3820-492C-B604-613AB80D80AB
Year 2019
Type of Item Peer-Reviewed Journal Publication
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Bibliographic Citation S.D. Nerantzaki, D. Efstathiou, G.V. Giannakis, M. Kritsotakis, M.G. Grillakis, A.G. Koutroulis, I.K. Tsanis and N.P. Nikolaidis, "Climate change impact on the hydrological budget of a large Mediterranean island," Hydrol. Sci. J., vol. 64, no. 10, pp. 1190-1203, Jul. 2019. doi: 10.1080/02626667.2019.1630741 https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2019.1630741
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Summary

Crete is a Mediterranean, karst-dominated island, characterized by long drought periods. The Karst-SWAT model, combined with 11 climate change scenarios, was run to assess climate change impacts on the island under two set-ups, both using the auto-irrigation function of the model: (1) with water drawn from the shallow or deep aquifer, and (2) with irrigated water derived from an unlimited outside source. The first set-up provided insight into the fluctuation of future irrigation needs, and when compared to the second set-up, enabled quantification of the future water deficit. The Water Exploitation Index was used to describe the spatial variability of future water stress on Crete. A decrease in both surface and karstic spring flows is foreseen, especially after 2060 (24.2 and 16.5%, respectively). Simulated irrigation water demand and water deficit show continuous increase throughout the projection period (2020–2098).

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