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Climate security assessment of countries

Phillis Yannis, Chairetis Nektarios, Grigoroudis Evaggelos, Kanellos Fotios, Kouikoglou Vasilis

Απλή Εγγραφή


URIhttp://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/EBFD2309-B4FA-4F18-A861-FB0D26ABDA80-
Αναγνωριστικόhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2196-0-
Αναγνωριστικόhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-018-2196-0-
Γλώσσαen-
Μέγεθος19 pagesen
ΤίτλοςClimate security assessment of countriesen
ΔημιουργόςPhillis Yannisen
ΔημιουργόςΦιλλης Ιωαννηςel
ΔημιουργόςChairetis Nektariosen
ΔημιουργόςΧαιρετης Νεκταριοςel
ΔημιουργόςGrigoroudis Evaggelosen
ΔημιουργόςΓρηγορουδης Ευαγγελοςel
ΔημιουργόςKanellos Fotiosen
ΔημιουργόςΚανελλος Φωτιοςel
ΔημιουργόςKouikoglou Vasilisen
ΔημιουργόςΚουϊκογλου Βασιληςel
ΕκδότηςSpringer Nature [academic journals on nature.com]en
ΠερίληψηClimate change has repercussions on national security. Yet, no widely accepted definition of climate security exists to date. In this paper, we present a mathematical model that defines and assesses climate security as a function of 37 indicators of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. The model combines the indicators using statistical methods and fuzzy logic which encapsulates the subjective part of the assessment, to derive an overall climate security score from 0 to 1, and then rank 187 countries. A sensitivity analysis points to those indicators with the highest potential to improve climate security and indicates regional priorities for action. It turns out that globally the highest priorities are the economy which is necessary for climate adaptation, population growth which should be contained, political rights, renewable energy use, and sea level rise. Although several results such as the high ranks of Scandinavian countries are intuitive, the model uncovers unexpected facts such as the higher rank of Uruguay than Denmark and Japan or the higher rank of Costa Rica than Italy. However, a closer look at the intermediate results reveals that Uruguay and Costa Rica are far superior to Denmark, Japan, and Italy in the areas of water and energy.en
ΤύποςPeer-Reviewed Journal Publicationen
ΤύποςΔημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτέςel
Άδεια Χρήσηςhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
Ημερομηνία2019-09-12-
Ημερομηνία Δημοσίευσης2018-
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαClimate changeen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαClimate securityen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαSensitivity analysisen
Βιβλιογραφική ΑναφοράY.A. Phillis, N. Chairetis, E. Grigoroudis, F.D. Kanellos and V.S. Kouikoglou, "Climate security assessment of countries," Clim. Change, vol. 148, no. 1-2, pp. 25-43, May 2018. doi: 10.1007/s10584-018-2196-0en

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