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Impact of climate change on water resources status: a case study for Crete Island, Greece

Koutroulis Aristeidis, Tsanis Giannis, Daliakopoulos Ioannis, Jacob Daniela

Απλή Εγγραφή

URIhttp://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/E2A72734-6068-4822-886C-8EED6798ECE8-
Αναγνωριστικόhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.055-
Γλώσσαen-
ΤίτλοςImpact of climate change on water resources status: a case study for Crete Island, Greeceen
ΔημιουργόςKoutroulis Aristeidisen
ΔημιουργόςΚουτρουλης Αριστειδηςel
ΔημιουργόςTsanis Giannisen
ΔημιουργόςΤσανης Γιαννηςel
ΔημιουργόςDaliakopoulos Ioannisen
ΔημιουργόςΔαλιακοπουλος Ιωαννηςel
ΔημιουργόςJacob Danielaen
ΕκδότηςElsevieren
ΠερίληψηAn assessment of the impact of global climate change on the water resources status of the island of Crete, for a range of 24 different scenarios of projected hydro-climatological regime is presented. Three “state of the art” Global Climate Models (GCMs) and an ensemble of Regional Climate Models (RCMs) under emission scenarios B1, A2 and A1B provide future precipitation (P) and temperature (T) estimates that are bias adjusted against observations. The ensemble of RCMs for the A1B scenario project a higher P reduction compared to GCMs projections under A2 and B1 scenarios. Among GCMs model results, the ECHAM model projects a higher P reduction compared to IPSL and CNCM. Water availability for the whole island at basin scale until 2100 is estimated using the SAC-SMA rainfall–runoff model And a set of demand and infrastructure scenarios are adopted to simulate potential water use. While predicted reduction of water availability under the B1 emission scenario can be handled with water demand stabilized at present values and full implementation of planned infrastructure, other scenarios require additional measures and a robust signal of water insufficiency is projected. Despite inherent uncertainties, the quantitative impact of the projected changes on water availability indicates that climate change plays an important role to water use and management in controlling future water status in a Mediterranean island like Crete. The results of the study reinforce the necessity to improve and update local water management planning and adaptation strategies in order to attain future water security.en
ΤύποςPeer-Reviewed Journal Publicationen
ΤύποςΔημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτέςel
Άδεια Χρήσηςhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
Ημερομηνία2015-11-09-
Ημερομηνία Δημοσίευσης2013-
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαChanges, Climaticen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαClimate changeen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαClimate changesen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαClimate variationsen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαClimatic changeen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαClimatic fluctuationsen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαClimatic variationsen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαGlobal climate changesen
Θεματική ΚατηγορίαGlobal climatic changesen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαclimatic changesen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαchanges climaticen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαclimate changeen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαclimate changesen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαclimate variationsen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαclimatic changeen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαclimatic fluctuationsen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαclimatic variationsen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαglobal climate changesen
Θεματική Κατηγορίαglobal climatic changesen
Βιβλιογραφική ΑναφοράA.G. Koutroulis, I.K. Tsanis, I.N. Daliakopoulos and D. Jacob, "Impact of climate change on water resources status: A case study for Crete Island, Greece", Journal of Hydrology, vol. 479, pp. 146-158, 2013. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.055en

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