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Combining accounting data and a structural model for predicting credit ratings: empirical evidence from European listed firms

Michael Doumpos, Niklis Dimitrios, Zopounidis Konstantinos, Andriosopoulos Kostas

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URIhttp://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/6566CB93-1670-4B51-BA91-3EFBB7AAB6E5-
Identifierhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426614000247-
Identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.01.010-
Languageen-
Extent9 pagesen
TitleCombining accounting data and a structural model for predicting credit ratings: empirical evidence from European listed firmsen
CreatorMichael Doumposen
CreatorΔουμπος Μιχαληςel
CreatorNiklis Dimitriosen
CreatorΝικλης Δημητριοςel
CreatorZopounidis Konstantinosen
CreatorΖοπουνιδης Κωνσταντινοςel
CreatorAndriosopoulos Kostasen
PublisherElsevieren
Content SummaryRatings issued by credit rating agencies (CRAs) play an important role in the global financial environment. Among other issues, past studies have explored the potential for predicting these ratings using a variety of explanatory factors and modeling approaches. This paper describes a multi-criteria classification approach that combines accounting data with a structural default prediction model in order to obtain improved predictions and test the incremental information that a structural model provides in this context. Empirical results are presented for a panel data set of European listed firms during the period 2002–2012. The analysis indicates that a distance-to-default measure obtained from a structural model adds significant information compared to popular financial ratios. Nevertheless, its power is considerably weakened when market capitalization is also considered. The robustness of the results is examined over time and under different rating category specifications.en
Type of ItemPeer-Reviewed Journal Publicationen
Type of ItemΔημοσίευση σε Περιοδικό με Κριτέςel
Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
Date of Item2015-11-05-
Date of Publication2015-
SubjectCredit ratingsen
SubjectRating agenciesen
SubjectBlack–Scholes–Merton modelen
SubjectMulti-criteria decision makingen
Bibliographic CitationM. Doumpos, D. Niklis, C. Zopounidis and K. Andriosopoulos, "Combining accounting data and a structural model for predicting credit ratings: empirical evidence from European listed firms," J. Bank. Finance, vol. 50, pp. 599-607, Jan. 2015. doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.01.010en

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