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Optimal GHG emission abatement and aggregate economic damages of global warming

Yannis Phillis, F. D. Kanellos, E. Grigoroudis, C. Hope, V. S. Kouikoglou, S. Papaefthymiou

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URI: http://purl.tuc.gr/dl/dias/D689E423-F40D-41E3-8AB8-F5D268B9ACDB
Year 2014
Type of Item Peer-Reviewed Journal Publication
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Bibliographic Citation F. D. Kanellos, E. Grigoroudis, C. Hope, V. S. Kouikoglou, S. Papaefthymiou and Y. A. Phillis, “Optimal GHG emissions abatement and aggregate economic damages of global warming,” IEEE Sys. J.,no.99 ,pp.1-10.doi : 10.1109/JSYST.2014.2376493 https://doi.org/ 10.1109/JSYST.2014.2376493
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Summary

Man-made global warming poses serious threats to the environment and society. Proper abatement policies for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are urgently needed to ameliorate the effects of global warming. In this paper, we introduce a version of the Policy Analysis of the Greenhouse Effect (PAGE) model that is faster by two orders of magnitude than previous versions. PAGE is then used in conjunction with a genetic algorithm to devise optimal GHG emission abatement policies. Such policies are chosen so that an overall cost is minimized subject to certain constraints imposed on the policies. The results show the urgency of the problem. It turns out that an additional warming of 3 to 4 , as compared to the year 1900, imposes enormous stresses on the global economy. This paper highlights the urgency of climate action in the form of drastic emission cuts.

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